Is 85018 a good location for a bakery?

What public records measure around the center of ZIP 85018 in Maricopa County, Arizona for a bakery: households and income, jobs within reach, resident spending and the bakeries already mapped there. Few mapped bakeries were found near the center, so the competition figures here are thin. Whether a particular address fits is a question about that address; check one free below.

ZIP 85018, Maricopa County, Arizona

Bakery. Measured from the center of the ZIP, not an address. ZIP 85018 covers 15 square miles, so its edges are about 2 miles from the center. Jobs and competitors are counted within a mile of the center and resident spending within 3 miles; the household figures beside are for the whole ZIP. Checked Oct 21, 2026.

ZIP 85018
17,598 households
Median household income
$93,885
Residents
37,297
Bakeries with employees, 2023
0

What stands out

  1. Few jobs within a short walk

    10Jobs
    3,265Households

    10 jobs are within a 5-minute walk (0.25 mile) and 31 within 10 minutes (0.5 mile), from Census workplace records for 2023.

  2. Less nearby competition than most

    0Bakeries, donut and bagel shops

    Overture's places data lists 0 bakeries, donut and bagel shops within half a mile (0 chain, 0 local multi-location and 0 independent) and 0 within a mile.

  3. What spending nearby can support

    $687KMiddle-case sales
    $5,750Rent the middle case supports

    Spending near the center of this ZIP supports an estimated $584,000 to $821,000 a year in sales for this business (middle case $687,000).

  4. Moderate road traffic; walk-in trade depends on pedestrians

    1,923Vehicles a day

    The nearest counted roads are 07~~40th~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~st~~~~~~, 1,923 vehicles a day (FHWA HPMS 2016), about 490 feet away and 07~~stanford~~~~~~~~~~~~dr~~~~~~, 4,036 vehicles a day (FHWA HPMS 2021), about 950 feet away.

What the center of ZIP 85018 can sell each year

Middle case$687K

Sales a year, planning range

Low case$584K
High case$821K
Rivals within 1.5 mi4
Healthy share for this business
8% to 10%
Base rent the ZIP center supports
$3,900 to $6,850 a month

Resident, worker and student spending near the ZIP center, shared among competitors by distance (Huff model). A planning range with stated assumptions, not a forecast.

Competition

Competitors within half a mile0

15th percentile for nearby competition among 837 similar businesses in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area

Under the metro median of 1
Within a quarter mile0
Within 1 mile0

Overture Maps Foundation places, 2026-09-23.1. Listings, not verified hours or menus.

Jobs within walking distance

10-minute walk31

Jobs at workplaces within half a mile

5-minute walk10
Within 1 mile10,361
Office-type, half mile15

Largest employers within a 10-minute walk

  • Other services10
  • Professional services8
  • Wholesale4
  • Management4
  • Real estate3

Census LEHD workplace records, jobs as of 2023. Straight-line distances. Office attendance is still roughly half to 60% of 2020 levels. Jobs are workplaces, not visits.

Traffic on nearby roads

Vehicles a day on 07~~40Th~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~St~~~~~~1,923

Nearest counted road, 2016 count

Other counted roads nearby

  • 07~~Stanford~~~~~~~~~~~~Dr~~~~~~ (pandemic year)950 ft4,036

State DOT and FHWA annual average daily traffic, both directions. Vehicles, not foot traffic.

What an address adds

  • The free check of an addressThe same measurements within a short walk of one address in 85018: who lives and works right there, the competition on that block and the traffic on its road. No account.
  • The full reportFor one address: whether the rules allow a bakery there, the rent the location supports against the asking rent, what has opened and closed nearby, and the questions to settle before signing.

Have an address in 85018 in mind?

Check the address free

The bakery check reads the same public records at the address itself.

Sources: Overture Maps Foundation: Places (Overture Places release 2026-09-23.1); DoorWorthy demand model: resident, worker and student spending shared among competitors (ACS 2020-2024; 2020 Census; BLS CE 2024; prices 2026-08); U.S. Census Bureau: ACS (ACS 2020-2024 five-year estimates); U.S. Census Bureau Gazetteer: ZIP Code Tabulation Area center (ZCTA internal point; land area 15 square miles); U.S. Census ACS households by income with BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey spending (ACS 2020-2024; 2020 Census; BLS CE 2024; prices 2026-08); FHWA Highway Performance Monitoring System (Annual average daily traffic, latest count 2021); U.S. Census Bureau: LEHD LODES workplace jobs (LODES8 workplace area characteristics, jobs as of 2023); U.S. Census Bureau ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 (establishments with paid employees). Listings and counts are public records, not visits or sales in this ZIP.

Questions about ZIP 85018.

ZIP 85018 for another business