What public records measure around the center of ZIP 85202 in Maricopa County, Arizona for a bakery: households and income, jobs within reach, resident spending and the bakeries already mapped there. Few mapped bakeries were found near the center, so the competition figures here are thin. Whether a particular address fits is a question about that address; check one free below.
ZIP 85202, Maricopa County, Arizona
Bakery. Measured from the center of the ZIP, not an address. ZIP 85202 covers 6.2 square miles, so its edges are about 1.5 miles from the center. Jobs and competitors are counted within a mile of the center and resident spending within 3 miles; the household figures beside are for the whole ZIP. Checked Oct 21, 2026.
ZIP 85202
16,798 households
Median household income
$71,619
Residents
38,750
Bakeries with employees, 2023
0
What stands out
A real daytime workforce within a short walk
2,397Jobs
7,038Households
2,397 jobs are within a 5-minute walk (0.25 mile) and 3,241 within 10 minutes (0.5 mile), from Census workplace records for 2023.
A typical amount of nearby competition
1Bakeries, donut and bagel shops
460 ftNearest rival
Overture's places data lists 1 bakeries, donut and bagel shops within half a mile (0 chain, 1 local multi-location and 0 independent) and 2 within a mile.
What spending nearby can support
$1.6MMiddle-case sales
$13,350Rent the middle case supports
Spending near the center of this ZIP supports an estimated $938,000 to $2.7 million a year in sales for this business (middle case $1.6 million).
A busy road for visibility; walk-in trade depends on pedestrians
18,651Vehicles a day
28,086Busiest road nearby
The nearest counted roads are 07~~baseline~~~~~~~~~~~~rd~~~~~~, 18,651 vehicles a day (FHWA HPMS 2023), about 430 feet away; 07~~pennington~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~, 1,871 vehicles a day (FHWA HPMS 2023), about 560 feet away; and 07~~dobson~~~~~~~~~~~~~~rd~~~~~~, 28,086 vehicles a day (FHWA HPMS 2022), about 690 feet away.
Measured around the center of ZIP 85202
Computed from public records at this location
What the center of ZIP 85202 can sell each year
Middle case$1.6M
Sales a year, planning range
Low case$938K
High case$2.7M
Rivals within 1.5 mi8
Healthy share for this business
8% to 10%
Base rent the ZIP center supports
$6,250 to $22,850 a month
Resident, worker and student spending near the ZIP center, shared among competitors by distance (Huff model). A planning range with stated assumptions, not a forecast.
Competition
Competitors within half a mile1
42th percentile for nearby competition among 837 similar businesses in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area
Near the metro median of 1
Within a quarter mile1
Within 1 mile2
Nearest competitors
Competitor 1Local group460 ft
Competitor 2Chain4,920 ft
Overture Maps Foundation places, 2026-09-23.1. Listings, not verified hours or menus.
Jobs within walking distance
10-minute walk3,241
Jobs at workplaces within half a mile
5-minute walk2,397
Within 1 mile12,068
Office-type, half mile608
Largest employers within a 10-minute walk
Health care1,771
Professional services320
Retail258
Finance and insurance256
Administrative support157
Census LEHD workplace records, jobs as of 2023. Straight-line distances. Office attendance is still roughly half to 60% of 2020 levels. Jobs are workplaces, not visits.
Traffic on nearby roads
Vehicles a day on 07~~Baseline~~~~~~~~~~~~Rd~~~~~~18,651
State DOT and FHWA annual average daily traffic, both directions. Vehicles, not foot traffic.
What an address adds
The free check of an addressThe same measurements within a short walk of one address in 85202: who lives and works right there, the competition on that block and the traffic on its road. No account.
The full reportFor one address: whether the rules allow a bakery there, the rent the location supports against the asking rent, what has opened and closed nearby, and the questions to settle before signing.
The bakery check reads the same public records at the address itself.
Sources: Overture Maps Foundation: Places (Overture Places release 2026-09-23.1); DoorWorthy demand model: resident, worker and student spending shared among competitors (ACS 2020-2024; 2020 Census; BLS CE 2024; prices 2026-08); U.S. Census Bureau: ACS (ACS 2020-2024 five-year estimates); U.S. Census Bureau Gazetteer: ZIP Code Tabulation Area center (ZCTA internal point; land area 6.2 square miles); U.S. Census ACS households by income with BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey spending (ACS 2020-2024; 2020 Census; BLS CE 2024; prices 2026-08); FHWA Highway Performance Monitoring System (Annual average daily traffic, latest count 2023); U.S. Census Bureau: LEHD LODES workplace jobs (LODES8 workplace area characteristics, jobs as of 2023); U.S. Census Bureau ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 (establishments with paid employees). Listings and counts are public records, not visits or sales in this ZIP.
Questions about ZIP 85202.
0 bakeries with paid employees in 2023 (Census ZIP Code Business Patterns), and 2 mapped within about a mile of the center.
38,750 residents in 16,798 households, with a median household income of $71,619 (ACS 2020-2024 five-year estimates).
12,068 jobs within a mile of the center in 2023 (Census LODES workplace records).
This page measures the area around the ZIP's center. Whether a specific address allows a bakery, what it rents for and who is next door is what the free address check and the full report look at.